Abstract
Health and education are indispensable factors for economic growth. This study examines the role of health and education in economic growth for 76 middle income countries during 1991-2016, using fixed and random effect approaches. The empirical findings demonstrates that a progressive link among life expectancy and economic growth while inverse association exists between infant mortality and economic growth. The outcomes of FE and RE models stated that secondary and tertiary level education contribute to increase in economic growth. The results also shows capital’s encouraging impact on growth, while the labor has negative influence to economic growth. The impact of life expectancy, infant mortality, enrollment in secondary and tertiary education on economic growth is stronger in upper middle income countries (UMIC) with comparison to lower middle income countries (LMIC). The study recommended that economies should focus on education and better health facilities towards betterment especially in lower income states.
Key Words
Economic Growth, Life Expectancy, Infant Mortality
Introduction
Economic growth is a result of efficient utilization of resources. It is a symbol of prosperity and economic development. Many indicators stimulate the growth of an economy among them human capital is the most important one. It is helpful to accelerate the output level, boosts labor’s productivity, and enhance the efficiency of available resources.
Health is a basic element of human capital which not only uplifts the worker’s capability but also improves output. Health is an indispensable for growth of an economy. A healthy body and mind are most important in performing daily life activities, and healthy person is able to enjoy the life without being dependent upon others. Health expenditures also improve food productivity and information about diseases. Improvement in health in industrial states raises economic growth up to 40%, and an increased rate of mortality causes a low growth level in developing countries (Arora, 2001).
The rising mortality rate is a sign of poor health facilities, as a result national income declines and vice versa. Infant mortality rate is declined that was 99.7 (per 1000) in 1990 and 28.2 in 2016, and the GDP per capita was 399.48 US$ in 1990 and 1029.57 US$ in 2016 in Bangladesh. The child mortality is also reduced in Pakistan from 106.2 (out of 1000) in 1990 to 64.2 (per 1000) in 2016, and the GDP per capita was 741.80 US$ in 1990 and 1179.41 US$ in 2016. Figure 1 shows an inverse affiliation among growth and infant mortality in MIC over 1991-2016. (World Bank report, 2017)
Figure 1
Relationship between Growth and Infant Mortality
Better life expectancy indicate the standard of living and improvement in per capita income. According to the report of World Bank, life expectancy is improved that was 69.29 years in 1990 and 76.25 years in 2016, and per capita GDP was 730.77 US$ in 1990 and 6894.46 US$ in 2016 in China. Existing empirical studies on health emphasis its positive and significant contribution to rising income. Figure 2 shows the progressive association among growth and life expectancy in MIC for 1991-2016.
Figure 2
Relationship between Economic Growth and Life Expectancy
The empirical analysis of Swift (2011) confirmed a co-integration association among life expectancy and GDP in OECD countries for two hundred years. The empirics exposed that 1% improvement in life expectancy causes a six percent rise in GDP. High life expectancy rate is an indication of improved health facilities. According to Bloom & Canning (2005), health is an increasing element of economic growth. Weil, D. (2007) also finds health as a notable element of rising income.
New growth theories consider health and education as the basic trigger of economic growth (Bloom et al., 2004). Ogundari and Awokuse (2018) expressed that health is more important than education for growth.
Education is also playing a key role in economic growth. It changes the values, traditions, culture, and brings reforms in a society. The most vital is that it enhances the return of inputs. It is an important to helping people to participate in transform of an economy positively. The role of educated people is mandatory to stabilize a nation as they are more capable to do work efficiently. Mercan and Sezer (2014) explained a positive role of educational expenses to growth in Turkey. An encouraging effect of higher schooling on growth is also found by Mariana (2015) in Romania.
The higher education causes more returns and economic growth as compared to other levels (Afzal et al., 2011). An unproductive use of education is inversely related with growth (Abdullah, 2013). Education has negative impact on growth in some cases due to some factors like brain drain (Lenkei et al., 2018). The outcomes of education at different levels towards growth are vary from country to country.
The study’s aims is to find (i) the impacts of enrollment in secondary and tertiary level education on economic growth, (ii) the role of life expectancy and infant mortality on growth for Middle Income Countries, and (iii) either the effect of health and education is stronger in UMI countries or in LMI countries. The paper is prepared as; Section 2 and 3 hold background and theoretical framework. Section 4 and 5 contain methodology and data respectively. The results and concluding remarks are precise in Section 6 and 7 respectively.
Literature Review
This section carries the review of previous studies on the nexus between health, education and economic growth. According to Mayer (2001), improvement in health facilities enhances productivity and income growth for age group of 1950-1990 in Latin America. GLS technique is applied using fertility rate, Govt. consumption, primary education and life expectancy. Carrion-i-Silvestre (2005) also exposed the association between healthcare expenditure (HCE) and GDP for OECD countries.
Similarly, Lago-Penas et al. (2013) found that HCE are feeding to GDP in 31 OECD countries over 1970-2009. It is also exposed that private share in health expenditure are more sensitive to GDP as compared to total expenditures. Mladenovic et al. (2016) tried to explore the relationship between HCE and GDP for 28 European members over 1974-2015 by applying adaptive neuro-fuzzy technique. The empirics show that HCE has progressive role to growth rate predictions.
Bhargava et al. (2001) explained that adult survival rate is an increasing factor of growth in low income countries. Saida and Kais (2018) also found a causality from health expenditure to GDP per capita in Africa over 1990-2015. Narayan et al. (2010) examined co-integration among health and economic growth for five countries over 1974-2007. Results were in line with the previous studies proving health as an important ingredient of growth. Gong et al. (2012) also summarized that health improvements are the source of growth for China over 1978-2003.
The empirical report of Swift (2011) confirmed a co-integration association among life expectancy and GDP in 13 OECD countries for two hundred years. Results exposed that a 1% improvement in life expectancy rate causes a six percent rise in GDP. Mahumud et al. (2013) also inspected that life expectancy increases the real income of people in Bangladesh. The study expressed that life expectancy is greater in females than males in the previous one and half decades.
Arora (2001) described the nexus among health and growth in 10 industrial economies for one century, and showed that economic growth raises 30-40% by improvement in health. Public spending on health also improve food productivity and information about diseases. The findings also expressed that increasing rate of mortality causes a low growth rate in developing countries.
Health is not the mere accelerator of growth, reverse also holds true. In a study on a sample of 148 countries for 1970-2010, Linden and Ray (2017) found per capita GDP as a basic reason of life expectations. Goode et al. (2014) investigated that household income has a strong impact on children health in China. Lu et al. (2017) discovered that GDP per capita is negatively correlated with mortality rate in 38 Chinese provinces for 2002-2014.
Katrakilidis et al. (2016) found a one-sided causation from income to infant mortality in Greece for 1960-2012. The results showed that economic growth improve health quality. Hooters' and Posnett (1992) ensured that GDP is an important factor of health spending and found a positive link among them in a relatively large sample of OECD countries. Results suggested that OECD countries panel is not an identical group.
A bidirectional affiliation among HCE and GDP in 20 OECD countries for 1970-2009 is examined by Amiri and Ventelou (2012). Similarly, Chaabouni et al. (2016) exposed a health-growth causal correlation for a panel of 51 states over 1995-2013, and Piabuo and Tieguhong (2017) also found the same nexus for CEMAC (the Central African Economic and Monetary Community) countries.
Education is a main character of economic growth. The study of Benos and Zotou (2014) shown that mostly studies used education attainment and ignored the quality of education, by considering 57 studies from previous literature. They have also guessed that qualitative measures are not used due to missing data. Mercan and Sezer (2014) explained a positive role of educational expenses to economic growth for Turkey during 1970-2012. Afzal et al. (2011) found twofold causality among education and growth in Pakistan for 1970-2008. The study expressed that an effect of higher education is stronger as compared to other education levels. A progressive role of higher education on growth is also found by Mariana (2015) in Romania for 1980-2013.
A study of Hongyi and Huang (2009) exposed that both health and education are accelerating factors of economic growth in China for 1978-2005. Ogundari and Awokuse (2018) expressed that health is more important than education for growth for a panel of 35 countries over 1980-2008. The findings of Bloom et al. (2004) pointed out that schooling and health are the main indicators of growth. They have also shown that a 1% improvement in life expectancy raises the output by 4 percent.
Frimpong and Adu (2014) inspected the significant character of schooling and health to raise growth in Africa over 1970-2010. The results also expressed that health has greater influence on growth as compared to education. The study of Lenkei et al. (2018) expressed the positive influence of primary and secondary education on economic growth in fourteen Asian economies for 1960-2013. The empirics exposed that tertiary education is negatively correlated with growth because of brain drain. Abdullah (2013) confirmed the accuracy of data on education for Malaysia and found a negative impact of education on growth due to unproductive use of education.
The results of secondary and tertiary education on economic growth are vary from country to country. Our purpose is to indicate the impact of life expectancy, infant mortality, secondary and tertiary education on economic growth in 76 MI countries.
Theoretical Framework and Model
A healthy body and mind are most important in performing activities of daily life, and healthy person is able to enjoy the life without being dependent upon others. A health production function describes information about health status of a nation. It explains the association between inputs and outputs in a particular time. An econometric model is formulated to find health and economic growth nexus. We follow the aggregate production function of Weil (2007) as,
Y=AK^? ?(L?)?^? ---------------------- (1)
where, Y output, A represents labor productivity and technology, K is capital, and L is labor, ? is human capital per capita. Human capital of a worker carries better health and education which can be written as,
? = S^? H^? ------------------------ (2)
where, S and H represent schooling and health respectively, ? is the share of schooling and ? is the share of health towards human capital. Taking natural logarithm of Eq.2
ln?= ?lnS+?lnH --------------------- (3)
Taking natural logarithm of Eq.1, the aggregate production function is as
ln?Y=ln?A+? ln?K+?(lnL+ln?) -------------- (4)
By substituting Eq.3 into Eq.4
ln?Y=ln?A+? ln?K+?(lnL+?lnS+?lnH) ----------- (5)
ln?Y=ln?A+?lnK+?lnL+??lnS+??lnH ----------- (6)
The empirical model for panel data analysis from derived equation can be expressed as,
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 s?_it+??_4 h?_it ------------- (7)
where, the terms i is used for MI countries and t is used for time period from 1991-2016, y is used for log of economic growth, k is natural logarithm of capital, l is labor, s is lo of education and h used for natural log of health. The term ?_0 is intercept, ?_1 is used for elasticity of capital with respect to growth, ?_2 is used for elasticity of labor, ?_3 for schooling, and ?_4 is the elasticity of health. Health is measured by life expectancy (LE) and infant mortality (IM), and included secondary and tertiary education as proxy of schooling.
Methodology
Various methods and techniques are applied to inspect the association between human health and economic growth by incorporating education. The study uses the panel data analysis. There are many advantages of panel data: (i) competency of the parameters estimates is high due to high sample variability and the degree of freedom (ii) panel data helps to control the effect of missing and unobservable variables (iii) it helps to control individual heterogeneity that is it allowed to control unobservable variables (iv) it reduces chance of multi-colinearity and (v) it produces more accurate estimates as compared to cross-sectional and time series analysis. The basic techniques, panel OLS, Random Effect (RE) and Fixed Effect (FE) models are used for panel data analysis. We have used RE and FE models for MIC.
Hausman Test
The study applied the Hausman test for picking an appropriate technique between RE and FE models. The hypothesis ‘RE model is suitable’ is tested against the alternative that is ‘FE model is good’.
Pooled OLS Model
The key assumption of pooled OLS estimation technique is that intercepts and slope coefficients do not vary across cross-sectional units over time. Variations across countries over time are captured by error. Pooled OLS estimation technique is appropriate if cov(u_(it,) X_it )=0. The pooled regression model can be written for Eq.7,
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 s?_it+??_4 h?_it+?_it ----------- (8)
The panel OLS takes common intercept and coefficients for all cross sections. This notion collapse the association among indicators. This is the reason to move towards RE and FE models.
Fixed Effect (FE) Model
FE model is used to determine the effect of coefficients that changes over time. This method assess the relationship between dependent and independent variables for each cross sectional unit, as every unit has some distinctive features which may have an impact on independent variable. FE model controls the impact of these time invariant features by allowing variability of characteristics in intercept. Now the proxy variables of education and health are added into Eq.7 and illustrated it according to the FE model,
y_it= ?_i+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 sec?_it+??_4 le?_it+?_it --------- (9.1)
y_it= ?_i+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 ter?_it+??_4 le?_it+?_it ---------- (9.2)
y_it= ?_i+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 sec?_it+??_4 im?_it+?_it ----------(9.3)
y_it= ?_i+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 ter?_it+??_4 im?_it+?_it -------- (9.4)
Here, the intercept of each cross section vary due to the exclusive characteristics of each country. The slope coefficients show elasticity of capital, education, labor and health with respect to economic growth.
Random Effect (RE) Approach
Random effects approach is appropriate if variation across entities have influence on dependent variable. It allows considering time invariant parameters. The key assumption of RE approach is that intercept of each cross-sectional unit is randomly drawn with constant average value of intercept. Thus Eq.7 with the proxy variables of education and health in form of RE model is,
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 sec?_it+??_4 le?_it+ú_i+?_it ------ (10.1)
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 ter?_it+??_4 le?_it+?_i+?_it ------- (10.2)
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 sec?_it+??_4 im?_it+?_i+?_it ------ (10.3)
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 ter?_it+??_4 im?_it+?_i+?_it ------ (10.4)
Or
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 sec?_it+??_4 le?_it+?_it -------- (11.1)
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 ter?_it+??_4 le?_it+?_it -------- (11.2)
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 sec?_it+??_4 im?_it+?_it -------- (11.3)
y_it= ?_0+??_1 k?_it+?_2 l_it+??_3 ter?_it+??_4 im?_it+?_it -------- (11.4)
where ú_i is cross-sectional error component, u_it is time series and cross-sectional error and ?_it is an addition of ú_i and u_it. In contrast to FE, RE does not create degree of freedom loss. This method is suitable when correlation between independent variable and random error term is zero. FE model is more suitable when independent variables are correlated with error term.
Data
This section contains the data, descriptive statistics and correlation among variables. Various variables are used to determine the relationship among indicators, and data is used over the period 1991-2016. The dependent variable include economic growth and measured by GDP per capita in literature (Siddique and Majeed, 2015).
The independent variables include infant mortality and life expectancy as health, and both are repetitively used in the literature (Linden and Ray, 2017; and Akram, et al. 2008). Schooling is measured by enrollment in secondary and tertiary education that is also used in economic literature (Akram, et al. 2008; and Ljunge, 2016). Capital is measured by Gross capital formation (% of GDP) which is utilized by Siddique et al. (2016), and labor force participation rate (above 15 age) is also independent variable (Siddique and Majeed, 2015). The data on all variables is taken from WDI (2018).
The study is concentrated on the panel of MIC (WDI 2018). We used three panels separately, the first is UMIC, the second is, LMIC, and third is MIC. UMI economies are those in which 2016 per person GNI was $3,956-$12,235. LMI countries are those in which 2016 GNI per capita was below $3,956.
Descriptive Statistics
This
section carries the summary of descriptive statistics of used variables. Table 1
shows the maximum, minimum, standard deviation and mean values of data for MI
countries. The maximum value (9.59) of economic growth belongs to Venezuela, RB
and minimum value (6.06) belongs to Cambodia. The average economic growth is
8.00.
The
maximum life expectancy (4.37) belongs to Costa Rica, minimum value (3.82) is
for Swaziland, and mean values of life expectancy is 4.22. The maximum value of
infant mortality (4.74) belongs to Nigeria, minimum value (1.06) is for Belarus,
and mean values of infant mortality is 3.21. The bottom of Table 2 contains the
descriptive stats for UMI countries and LMI countries separately.
Table 1. Descriptive Stats for MI Countries
Variables |
Obs. |
Mean |
Std. Dev. |
Min. |
Max. |
Economic
Growth |
994 |
8.0001 |
0.7447 |
6.0668 |
9.5923 |
Capital |
994 |
3.1733 |
0.3602 |
-1.2031 |
4.8755 |
Labor |
994 |
4.0674 |
0.1615 |
3.6468 |
4.4326 |
Life
Expectancy |
994 |
4.2257 |
0.0964 |
3.8265 |
4.3799 |
Infant Mortality |
994 |
3.2123 |
0.6710 |
1.0647 |
4.7466 |
Secondary Education |
994 |
4.2319 |
0.3796 |
2.5771 |
4.8367 |
Tertiary Education |
994 |
3.0155 |
0.8223 |
0.6095 |
4.5584 |
Descriptive Stats for UMI Countries |
|||||
Economic
Growth |
539 |
8.4894 |
0.5366 |
6.6693 |
9.5923 |
Capital |
539 |
3.1751 |
0.3813 |
-1.2031 |
4.8755 |
Labor |
539 |
4.0663 |
0.1515 |
3.7110 |
4.3700 |
Life
Expectancy |
539 |
4.2607 |
0.0767 |
3.8885 |
4.3799 |
Infant
Mortality |
539 |
2.9093 |
0.5856 |
1.0647 |
4.6491 |
Secondary Education |
539 |
4.3745 |
0.2308 |
3.1524 |
0.6095 |
Tertiary Education |
539 |
3.2588 |
0.7097 |
4.8367 |
4.5584 |
Descriptive Stats for LMI Countries |
|||||
Economic
Growth |
455 |
7.4205 |
0.5009 |
6.0668 |
8.3596 |
Capital |
455 |
3.1712 |
0.3339 |
1.3944 |
4.2181 |
Labor |
455 |
4.0686 |
0.1727 |
3.6468 |
4.4326 |
Life
Expectancy |
455 |
4.1843 |
0.1009 |
3.8265 |
4.3271 |
Infant
Mortality |
455 |
3.5713 |
0.5833 |
2.0794 |
4.7466 |
Secondary Education |
455 |
4.0630 |
0.4465 |
2.5771 |
4.6475 |
Tertiary Education |
455 |
2.7274 |
0.8537 |
0.8672 |
4.4239 |
All
variables are in natural logarithm form |
Correlation among Variables
This
section explains the correlation among the used variables for three panels over
1991-2016. The correlation for MI countries (full sample) is shown in Table 2.
Table 3 shows that correlation between variables for UMI countries, and Table 4
holds the correlation for LMI countries. The direction of relationship among
variables are almost same for three panels. There is a positive correlation among
life expectancy and economic growth. Capital, secondary and tertiary education
are positively correlated labor and infant mortality is negatively correlated with
growth.
Table
2. Correlation Matrix for MI Countries (Full Sample)
Variables |
y |
k |
l |
le |
im |
sec |
ter |
y |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
k |
0.0702 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
|
l |
-0.1547 |
-0.0698 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
le |
0.4528 |
0.1068 |
-0.1951 |
1.000 |
|
|
|
im |
-0.6669 |
-0.0809 |
0.1549 |
-0.7508 |
1.0000 |
|
|
sec |
0.5105 |
0.0125 |
-0.0988 |
0.5934 |
-0.7020 |
1.0000 |
|
ter |
0.5197 |
0.0026 |
-0.1883 |
0.6431 |
-0.7471 |
0.7717 |
1.0000 |
Table
3. Correlation among variables in UMI Countries
Variables |
y |
k |
l |
le |
im |
sec |
ter |
y |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
k |
0.1018 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
|
l |
-1.1350 |
-0.0844 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
le |
0.2037 |
0.0179 |
-0.0989 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
im |
-0.4549 |
-0.0784 |
0.0624 |
-0.6280 |
1.0000 |
|
|
sec |
0.3121 |
-0.0559 |
-0.0596 |
0.3260 |
-0.5537 |
1.0000 |
|
ter |
0.4756 |
-0.0257 |
-0.1143 |
0.5529 |
-0.6952 |
0.6184 |
1.0000 |
Table
4. Correlation Matrix for LMI Countries
Variables |
y |
k |
l |
le |
im |
sec |
ter |
y |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
k |
0.0853 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
|
l |
-0.3050 |
-0.0537 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
|
le |
0.3321 |
0.2175 |
-0.2977 |
1.0000 |
|
|
|
im |
-0.5990 |
-0.1060 |
0.2912 |
-0.7698 |
1.0000 |
|
|
sec |
0.3976 |
0.0598 |
-0.1348 |
0.6155 |
-0.7310 |
1.0000 |
|
ter |
0.4042 |
0.0310 |
-0.2678 |
0.6242 |
-0.7393 |
0.8316 |
1.0000 |
Empirical Results
The
results of empirical analysis between health and economic growth for three
panel datasets are discussed in this section.
Results of Hausman Test
Hausman
test is applied to choose the best technique between RE and FE model. The main hypothesis
(RE model is suitable) is tested against alternative (FE model is good)
hypothesis. Results are displayed in Table 5.
The results for MI countries show
that FE model is suitable for life expectancy with secondary education while RE
is good for tertiary education equation. The FE model is appropriate for infant
mortality with secondary and tertiary education. In case of UMI countries, the
FE technique is reasonable. For the panel of LMI countries the FE approach is
suitable for all cases except infant mortality with tertiary education.
Table
5. Hausman Test Result
MI Countries
(Full Sample) |
||||
Model (18) |
Education Proxy |
Chi-sq. |
Prob. |
Status |
Life expectancy used as
health |
Secondary Education (sec) |
9.1466 |
0.0575 |
FE |
Tertiary Education (ter) |
4.1440 |
0.3869 |
Random Effect (RE) |
|
Infant mortality used as health |
Sec |
0.7890 |
0.9399 |
RE |
Ter |
1.6007 |
0.8087 |
RE |
|
UMI
Countries |
||||
Life expectancy used as
health |
Sec |
19.9466 |
0.0005 |
FE |
Ter |
15.1218 |
0.0045 |
FE |
|
Infant mortality used as health |
Sec |
13.5802 |
0.0088 |
FE |
Ter |
15.0254 |
0.0046 |
FE |
|
LMI
Countries |
||||
Life expectancy used as
health |
Sec |
21.4030 |
0.0003 |
FE |
Ter |
21.4030 |
0.0003 |
FE |
|
Infant mortality used as health |
Sec |
9.2400 |
0.0554 |
FE |
Ter |
7.1433 |
0.1285 |
RE |
Null hypothesis: Random effect model is appropriate
Full Sample Results
Table
6 shows the empirical results of 76 MI countries (full panel) over 1991-2016. The
study used four equations to assessment the nexus between education, health and
economic growth.
Life expectancy has the coefficients
3.02 and 2.15 which shows a 1% increase in life expectancy rate causes 3.02%
and 2.15% rise in economic growth. The result is consistence with Bloom et al. (2004). Infant mortality has adverse
relationship with economic growth which shows that increasing rate of infant
mortality decreases economic growth in MI countries. The coefficients of infant
mortality are -0.61 and -0.57, which explain that a 1% increase in mortality
rate declines growth rate by 0.61% and 0.57%, respectively. Lu et al. (2017) also discovered that GDP per capita
is negatively correlated with mortality rate in China.
The results express that education is
playing a vital role in increasing economic growth. The coefficients of
secondary education are 0.39 and 0.14 which illustrate that a 1% rise in secondary
education enrollment shows a 0.39% and 0.14% increase in economic growth. The
enrollment in tertiary education is an indication of economic growth. The
coefficients 0.29 and 0.13 express that a 1% percent rise in tertiary education
is a sources of an intensification in economic growth by 0.29% and 0.13%,
respectively. Afzal et al. (2011) found that the
influence of higher level of education is stronger on growth as compared to
other education levels. A progressive effect of higher education on growth is
found by Mariana (2015).
Capital is an accelerating factor
of economic growth which is consistent with economic literature (see, for
instance, Siddique and Majeed, 2015). The coefficients of labor show an inverse
association among labor and economic growth. Siddique and Majeed (2015) also
found a negative sign of labor in economic growth model.
Table
6. Results for MI Countries (Full Sample)
Variables |
Models |
|||
FE (9.1) |
RE (11.2) |
RE (11.3) |
RE (11.4) |
|
k |
0.1496*** |
0.1584*** |
0.0968*** |
0.1152*** |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
l
|
-0.6843*** |
-0.3137** |
-0.7326*** |
-0.2492** |
(0.0000) |
(0.0194) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0218) |
|
le |
3.0202*** |
2.1578*** |
|
|
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
|
|
im |
|
|
-0.6146*** |
-0.5739*** |
|
|
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
Table
Continued on Next Page |
||||
Table
Continued from Previous Page |
||||
sec |
0.3964*** |
|
0.1444*** |
|
(0.0000) |
|
(0.0000) |
|
|
ter |
|
0.2996*** |
|
0.1359*** |
|
(0.0000) |
|
(0.0000) |
|
Constant |
-4.0787*** |
-1.6758 |
12.0874*** |
10.1438*** |
(0.0000) |
(0.1999) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
obs. |
1347 |
1239 |
1348 |
1239 |
R2 |
0.9422 |
0.5821 |
0.6645 |
0.7267 |
p-values
in parentheses, ***p<0.01, **p<0.05, *p<0.1 |
Sub-Sample Results
Hausman
test confirmed that FE model is appropriate for the panel of UMI countries for
all equations. Table 7 shows the empirical results of FE model for 42 UMI
countries over 1991-2016. Life expectancy has a positive influence to economic
growth. The coefficients are 3.53 and 2.23 which illustrate that a 1% increase
in life expectancy rate causes an intensification in economic growth by 3.53% and
2.23%, respectively. Mahumud et al. (2013) also
inspected that life expectancy increases the real income in Bangladesh.
The findings confirm that decreasing rate of infant
mortality increases economic growth. The coefficients of infant mortality are
-0.62 and -0.58 which explain that a 1% increase in infant mortality declines
0.62% and 0.58% in economic growth for UMI countries. The results are
consistence with the findings of Lu et al.
(2017).
The coefficients of secondary
education (0.46 and 0.13) illustrate that a 1% rise in secondary education
enrollment shows a 0.46% and 0.13% increase in economic growth. The coefficients of tertiary education
are 0.35 and 0.14 which express that a 1% percent rise in tertiary education is
a sources of 0.35% and 0.14% increase in economic growth respectively. The
study of Lenkei et al. (2018) also expressed the positive influence of
schooling on economic growth in Asia.
The results show that capital is an
increasing determinant of economic growth.
Furthermore, results indicate an inverse link between labor and income growth
which is significant in two equations and insignificant in others. It is also observed in the literature
(Omri, 2013).
Table
7. Results for UMI Countries
Variables |
Models |
|||
FE (9.1) |
FE (9.2) |
FE (9.3) |
FE (9.4) |
|
k |
0.1566*** |
0.1720*** |
0.0927*** |
0.1195*** |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
Table
Continued on Next Page |
||||
Table
Continued from Previous Page |
||||
l
|
-0.7163*** |
-0.1264 |
-0.7657*** |
-0.2013 |
(0.0000) |
(0.4907) |
(0.0000) |
(0.1808) |
|
le |
3.5320*** |
2.2334*** |
|
|
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
|
|
im |
|
|
-0.6203*** |
-0.5861*** |
|
|
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
sec |
0.4604*** |
|
0.1355*** |
|
(0.0000) |
|
(0.0019) |
|
|
ter |
|
0.3551 |
|
0.1460 |
|
(0.0000) |
|
(0.0000) |
|
Constant |
-6.1135*** |
-2.2347* |
12.5726*** |
10.1488*** |
(0.0000) |
(0.0947) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
obs. |
769 |
659 |
770 |
659 |
R2 |
0.8564 |
0.8748 |
0.9024 |
0.9126 |
***p<0.01,
**p<0.05, *p<0.1 |
Table
8 displays the empirical results of RE and FE models in 34 LMI countries for
1991-2016. The Hausman test confirmed that FE model is appropriate for three
equations and RE model is good for one equation.
The
coefficients of life expectancy are 2.62 and 2.23 which show a 1% change in
life expectancy causes 2.62% and 2.23% variation in economic growth. Child
mortality is inversely correlated with economic growth, the empirics express
that a one percent increase in mortality rate is a reason to decrease growth
rate by 0.54-0.61% in LMI countries.
The findings also express that a 1%
increase in secondary education enrollment causes 0.15-0.33% surge in economic
growth. The enrollment in tertiary education has also positive impact on
economic growth but it is weak in comparison to secondary enrollment in LMIC.
The coefficients indicate a one percent change in tertiary enrollment origins a
variation in economic growth by 0.12-0.23%. Capital is positively correlated with
economic growth, while labor is negatively interrelated with growth.
Table
8. Results of FE and RE Models for LMI Countries
Variables |
Models |
|||
FE (9.1) |
FE (9.2) |
FE (9.3) |
RE (11.4) |
|
k |
0.1398*** |
0.1353*** |
0.1032*** |
0.1085*** |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
l
|
-0.7413*** |
-0.5292** |
-0.6129*** |
-0.2801* |
(0.0019) |
(0.0224) |
(0.0004) |
(0.0942) |
|
Table
Continued on Next Page |
||||
Table
Continued from Previous Page |
||||
le |
2.6246*** |
2.2348*** |
|
|
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
|
|
im |
|
|
-0.6110*** |
-0.5461*** |
|
|
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
sec |
0.3386*** |
|
0.1535*** |
|
(0.0000) |
|
(0.0019) |
|
|
ter |
|
0.2363*** |
|
0.1282*** |
|
(0.0000) |
|
(0.0000) |
|
Constant |
-2.3480*** |
-0.8710 |
11.1577*** |
9.8388*** |
(0.0991) |
(0.5324) |
(0.0000) |
(0.0000) |
|
Obs. |
578 |
580 |
578 |
580 |
R2 |
0.9106 |
0.9220 |
0.9534 |
0.7511 |
***p<0.01,
**p<0.05, *p<0.1
Conclusion
Economic growth is a result of efficient utilization of resources. It is a symbol of prosperity and economic development. Various indicators stimulate the growth of an economy among them human capital is the most important one. It is helpful to accelerate the output level, boosts labor’s productivity, and enhance the efficiency of available resources. The RE and FE methods are applied to find the results for 76 MI countries, 42 UMI countries and 34 LMI countries over 1991-2016. The study used four equations to estimate the nexus between health, education and economic growth.
Life expectancy is an increasing factor of economic growth in MIC (full panel). Child mortality has negative impact on economic growth which indicates that a decreasing rate of mortality increases economic growth. The results show that health is an indispensable for economic growth of an economy. The results are expressed that enrollment in secondary and tertiary education playing a progressive role in increasing economic growth. Capital is positively correlated with economic growth while the labor has negative effect on economic growth.
The findings of UMI and LMI countries expose that life expectancy and capital have positively correlated with economic growth, while labor and infant mortality are negatively correlated with economic growth. The findings also express that secondary and tertiary enrollment have positive effect on economic growth.
The study concluded that the impact of life expectancy, infant mortality, enrollment in secondary and tertiary education on economic growth is stronger in UMI countries as compared to LMI countries. Better health facilities and improved educational institutes in UMI countries are contributing more towards economic growth and development. The study recommended that economies should focus on education and better health facilities to improve economic growth especially in lower income countries.
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Cite this article
-
APA : Siddique, H. M. A., Mohey-ud-din, G., & Kiani, A. (2018). Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries. Global Social Sciences Review, III(IV), 68-86. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-IV).05
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CHICAGO : Siddique, Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar, Ghulam Mohey-ud-din, and Adiqa Kiani. 2018. "Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries." Global Social Sciences Review, III (IV): 68-86 doi: 10.31703/gssr.2018(III-IV).05
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HARVARD : SIDDIQUE, H. M. A., MOHEY-UD-DIN, G. & KIANI, A. 2018. Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries. Global Social Sciences Review, III, 68-86.
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MHRA : Siddique, Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar, Ghulam Mohey-ud-din, and Adiqa Kiani. 2018. "Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries." Global Social Sciences Review, III: 68-86
-
MLA : Siddique, Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar, Ghulam Mohey-ud-din, and Adiqa Kiani. "Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries." Global Social Sciences Review, III.IV (2018): 68-86 Print.
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OXFORD : Siddique, Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar, Mohey-ud-din, Ghulam, and Kiani, Adiqa (2018), "Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries", Global Social Sciences Review, III (IV), 68-86
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TURABIAN : Siddique, Hafiz Muhammad Abubakar, Ghulam Mohey-ud-din, and Adiqa Kiani. "Health, Education and Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from Middle Income Countries." Global Social Sciences Review III, no. IV (2018): 68-86. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-IV).05