A CROSSTABULATION ANALYSIS OF SOCIOECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF CRIME EVIDENCE FROM WOMEN JAIL MULTAN PAKISTAN

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-I).14      10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-I).14      Published : Mar 2021
Authored by : Muhammad Ramzan Sheikh , Muhammad Tariq , Sana Sultan

14 Pages : 130-147

    Abstract

    The crime rate in Pakistan has increased severely within the last decade. It may be because of high unemployment, increasing poverty, income, rising inflation and urbanized setups. Few non-economic constraints are also responsible for it. The study has been made with reference to Women Jail Multan. The 70 female prisoners are selected via a random sampling method. The data are collected by interviewing them. The study has used the type of crime as the dependent variable. Purely crime-related variables and socio-economic factors of crime have been used as explanatory variables. Both purely crime-related variables and socio-economic variables have found effect size with the type of crime.

    Key Words

    Crime, Education, Jail

    Jel Code

    K10, K42

    Introduction

    There is no country in the world without crime, but it is the main issue in the less developing countries like Pakistan. The crime rate is rapidly increasing from 1951 to 2011in Pakistan (Khan et al., 2015). In the last decades, crime becomes a major issue in the world. Crimes are always harmful to society. Any illegal social activities that disrupt society is considered a crime. The crime was begun with humanity. The jealously of Cain results in the murder of Abel and become the first murder of the world. Crime and social welfare of the country are inversely related to each other, as the crime rate in the country increases, the welfare of the country decreases and vice versa (Gillani et al. 2009).

    Day by day, crime becomes a most serious issue in Pakistan and all over the world. Backer (1968) explained the various fields of crime in economics, e.g., criminology, geography, sociology and demography. In 1938, Merton presented a social theory which states that most individuals commit the crime when they are not able to achieve their goals. In 2007, Brush analyzed that unequal distribution of rights encourages people to commit the crime (Khan et al, 2015). In 1966, Fleisher examined that major factors of crimes are unemployment and low wages. As middle-class families suddenly become rich, they commit more crime like murder, corruption and rape etc. (Anwer et al., 2015). Crime is a major problem in Pakistan that affects not only society but also the criminal, victims, and their families (Ashraf, Li, Butt, Naz, & Zafar, 2019). Different types of crimes are rapidly growing in Pakistan, which includes murder, robbery, kidnapping, property crime, sexual assault, hate crimes, violence and terrorism (Sultan et al., 2014). Crime is an act that is prohibited by the government and is against the laws and regulations (Jalil and Iqbal, 2010).

    The crime rate increases in Pakistan due to the irregular and non-monitoring system of the government. This type of situation motivates the criminals, and they attempt more crimes. Owing to this, Pakistan's state is miserable in every field, whether it is political, social, cultural, socio-economic and environmental. There is a difference in Pakistan's society between rich and poor that enhance the chances of crime in Pakistan. The ratio of needy people is more than rich people (Ashraf, Li, & Mehmood, 2017). Political instability and inequality between rich and poor also cause the possibilities of crime. Family issues also cause an increase in the crime ratio in Pakistan. Many people commit crimes for their pointless needs and try to get those things in greed that belong to others. (Sultan et al., 2014).

    As the poverty level has increased in Pakistan, the ratio of crimes has also increased. When the unemployment level is high in any country or society, it creates distractions and offences that decreases the opportunity cost of crimes and increases the chances of attempted crimes (Li et al., 2020). It also reduces the rate of return in legal activities while creates the potential of benefit in illegal activities. So, poverty and unemployment compel society to attempt more crimes for a better living standard (Khan et al., 2015). Pakistan is a developing country and will progress day by day, so the population of Pakistan is migrating from rural areas to urban areas. Urbanization also increases the ratio of crime. As people migrate, their needs and priorities also increase that induce them for different types of crimes. Some criminals attempt crime as an adventure and unintentionally habituate of this nature. 

    The crimes ratio has increased in Pakistan due to definite reasons, and this ratio is disturbing. Crimes will always attempt until the corrupted people, innocent victims and inequality exist in the society (Sultan et al., (2014). The rest of the research paper is planned as: Section 2 shows the review of the literature.  Section 3 highlights the source and description of the data. Section 4 explains the cross-tabulation analysis of both purely crime-related variables and socio-economic variables linked with the type of crime. Section 5 is furnished with conclusions and policy implications.

    Review of Literature

    Many social and economic factors may affect the crime rate among women. Many studies in the empirical literature investigate the socio-economic determinants of crime among women in Table1


     

    Table 1. Assorted Studies on Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime

    Reference(s)

    Country/Area

    Time Period/Obs.

    Methodology

    Main Results

    Umair

    (2019)

    Pakistan

    2006-2016

    Correlation and regression analysis

    Net income (-ve), Inflation (-ve), GDP (-ve), population (+ve)

    Amin et al.

    (2019)

    India

    1971

    Correlation

    Literacy rate (-ve)

    Hazra and Cui

    (2018)

    India

    1991-2015

    OLS

    Inflation (+ve), Unemployment (+ve)

    Cerulli et al.

    (2018)

    United State

    2000-2012

    REC (Random-Coefficient Regression)

    Education (+ve), Number of police (-ve), Inequality (+ve), Wages (-ve), Foreign-born (+ve)

    Ishak and Bani

    (2017)

    Malaysia

    1990-2008

    Penal data

    GDP (-ve), Number of police (-ve), Unemployment (+ve), Education (+ve), Population density (+ve)

    Hassan et al.

    (2016)

    Pakistan

    1978-2011

    ARDL

    Poverty (+ve), Inflation (+ve), Economic growth (+ve), Urbanization (+ve)

    Janko and Popli

    (2015)

    Canada

    1979-2006

    Error correction model

    Unemployment (-ve) significant

    Khan et al.

    (2015)

    Pakistan

    1972-2011

    Johansen Cointegration

    GDP per-capita (+ve), poverty (+ve), Unemployment (+ve), Higher education (-ve)

    Abbas and Manzoor (2015)

    Southern Punjab, Pakistan

    50

    Chi-Square Tests

    A significant relationship between crime and marital status, literacy rate, women age and economic issues

    Terand and Clement (2014)

    Nigeria

    1980-2011

    cointegration model

    Unemployment (+ve), Inflation (+ve),

    Fougere et al.

    (2009)

    France

    95 departments, 1990-2000

    OLS

    Unemployment (-ve)

    Omotor

    (2009)

    Nigeria

    1981-2005

    Error Correction Model

    Inflation (-ve), Literacy rate (-ve), unemployment rate (-ve), Population (-ve), Income (+ve)

    Gilbert and Sookram (2009)

    Jamaica

    1978-2008

    Vector Autoregressive Model

    Clear-up rate (-ve), Size of police force (-ve), Social spending as percentage of GDP (-ve),

    Buonanno and Leonida

    (2006)

    Italy

    20 Italian region

    1980-1995

    GMM

    Education (-ve)

    O’cinneide

    (2006)

    America

    2000

    OLS

    Police officers ( +ve), unemployment (+ve), Gini coefficient (+ve), abortion (-ve)

    Edmark

    (2005)

    Swedish Counties

    1988-1999

    Fixed Effect

    Unemployment (+ve)

    Herzog

    (2005)

    Israel and Palestinian

    1982-1997

    OLS

    Unemployment (-ve), GDP (+ve), Car registered (+ve)

    Luiz

    (2001)

    South Africa

    1960-1993

    Restricted cointegration model

    Per-capita income (-ve), Percentage of offences solved (+ve), Number of police (+ve), Political Instability (+ve)

    Bechdolt

    (1975)

    SMSAs states

    1960,1970

    OLS

    Income (-ve), Crowding (+ve), Unemployment (+ve), Population density (+ve)

     


    This section has been set out to review the socio-economic determinants of crime. Different studies have focused on different determinants of crime. Most researchers have pointed out that unemployment, education, poverty and per-capita income are the main factors of crime. According to the best of our knowledge, we have not found any study on Women jail Multan.

     

    Data: Source and Description

    To analyze socio-economic determinants of crime in district Multan in the Punjab province of Pakistan, we have used cross-sectional data for 2019-2020. The data have been collected from Women Jail Multan. A sample of 70 prisoners was taken from Women jail Multan by using a random sampling method. Data are taken through personal interviews.  

    Results and Discussions

    In this section, socio-economic determinants of crime in Women Jail Multan have been discussed. This section is portioned into two parts; the first part discusses crime-related variables, and the second elucidates the socio-economic determinants of crime in Women Jail Multan.

     

    Purely Crime Related Variables of Crime

    There are seven variables: Now, we present the cross-tabulation analysis of purely crime-related variables of crimes.


     

    Table 1. Number of Times Prisoners Commit Crime and Cross Tabulation

     

     

    Number of Times Prisoners Commit Crime

     

    Type of Crime

     

    1-5

    6-10

    11 and above

    Total

    Property Crime

    19

    4

    12

    35

    Violent Crime

    29

    1

    5

    35

     

    Total

    48

    5

    17

    70

    Table 2. Chi-Square Test of Average Strength Length of Crime

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    6.766

    2

    0.034

    0.036

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    6.996

    2

    0.03

    0.075

    ---

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    6.531

    ---

    ---

    0.036

    ---

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    5.556

    1

    0.018

    0.025

    0.013

    0.007

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

     

    Table 2 shows the relationship between variables, and the Pearson Chi-Square is 6.766, which is significant.

     

    Table 3. Symmetrical Measures of Number of Times Prisoner Commit Crime

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.311

    0.034

    0.036

    Cramer's V

    0.311

    0.034

    0.036

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.297

    0.034

    0.036

    N of Valid Cases

    ---

    70

    ---

    ---

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.311, which is statistically significant.

     

    Table 4. Average Strength Length of Crime: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

     

    Average Strength Length of Crime

     

    Type of Crime

     

    0-5

    6 to 10

    21 to 25

    Total

    Property Crime

    31

    3

    1

    35

    Violent Crime

    14

    1

    20

    35

     

    Total

    45

    4

    21

    70

     

    Table 5. Chi-Square Test of Average Strength Length of Crime

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    24.613

    2

    0.000

    0.000

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    28.702

    2

    0.000

    0.000

    ---

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    26.899

    ---

    ---

    0.000

    ---

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    23.533

    1

    0.000

    0.000

    0.000

    0.000

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The value of the first test Pearson chi-square is 24.613, which is highly significant.

     

    Table 6. Symmetrical Measures of Average Strength Length of Crime

     

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

     

    Phi

    0.593

    0

    0

    Cramer's V

    0.593

    0

    0

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.51

    0

    0

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    Cramer’s V's value is 0.593 shows a moderate relationship.

     

    Table 7. Number of Times Prisoners Convicted Crime: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Number of Times Prisoners Convicted Crime

     

     

     

    0

    1 to 5

    6 to 10

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    22

    11

    2

    35

    Violent Crime

    11

    24

    0

    35

    Total

    33

    35

    2

    70

     

    Table 8. Chi Squares Tests of Number of Times Prisoners Convicted Crime

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    10.495

    2

    0.005

    0.004

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    11.457

    2

    0.003

    0.004

    ---

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    10.073

    ---

    ---

    0.005

    ---

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    3.754

    1

    0.053

    0.083

    0.041

    0.027

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The value of Pearson chi-square is 2.962, which is significant.

     

    Table 9. Symmetric Measures of Number of Times Prisoners Convicted Crime

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.387

    0.005

    0.004

    Cramer's V

    0.387

    0.005

    0.004

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.361

    0.005

    0.004

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of each test shows the medium association between the variables and significance.

     

    Table 10. The motivation of Crime: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Motivation of Crime

     

     

     

    Economic Factors

    Social Factors

    Political Factors

    Psychological Factors

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    16

    18

    0

    1

    35

    Violent Crime

    4

    30

    1

    0

    35

    Total

    20

    48

    1

    1

    70

     

    Table 11. Chi-Square Tests of Motivation of Crime

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    12.2

    3

    0.007

    0.002

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    13.514

    3

    0.004

    0.002

    ---

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    12.148

    ---

    ---

    0.002

    ---

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    5.715

    1

    0.017

    0.026

    0.013

    0.01

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The value of chi-square is 12.2, which is significant.

     

    Table 12. Symmetric Measures of Motivation of Crime

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.417

    0.007

    0.002

    Cramer's V

    0.417

    0.007

    0.002

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.385

    0.007

    0.002

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    Cramer’s V's value is 0.417 shows the medium association between the type of crime and the motivation of crime.

     

    Table 13. Repent: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Repent

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    26

    9

    35

    Violent Crime

    29

    6

    35

    Total

    55

    15

    70

     

    Table 14. Chi-Square Tests of Repent

     

    Value

    df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    .764

    1

    0.382

    0.561

    0.281

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    0.339

    1

    0.56

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    0.768

    1

    0.381

    0.561

    0.281

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.561

    0.281

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    .753

    1

    0.386

    0.561

    0.281

    0.159

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The chi-square value is 0.764, which is statistically insignificant, indicating that repent and type of crime are not related.

     

    Table 15. Symmetric Measures of Repent

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    -0.104

    0.382

    0.561

    Cramer's V

    0.104

    0.382

    0.561

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.104

    0.382

    0.561

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

    ---

    ---

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.104 out of 1, which is not significant, indicating that the strength of association of type of crime and repent is not significant.

     

    Effect Size

    Crime: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

    Table 16. Interaction with other People in Jail Encourage Prisoners to Commit

     

    Interaction with other People in Jail Encourage Prisoners to Commit Crime

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Total Crime

    Property Crime

    30

    5

    35

    Violent Crime

    26

    9

    35

    Total

    56

    14

    70

     

    Table 17. Chi-Square Tests of Interaction with other People in Jail Encourage Prisoners to Commit Crime

     

    Value

    df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    1.429

    1

    0.232

    0.371

    0.185

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    0.804

    1

    0.37

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    1.445

    1

    0.229

    0.371

    0.185

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.371

    0.185

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    1.408

    1

    0.235

    0.371

    0.185

    0.119

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

     


    Table 17 is to examine whether the type of crime and other people in jail who encourages prisoners to commit crime are independent or not with the chi-square test 1.429, which is statistically insignificant.


     

    Table 18. Symmetric Measures of Interaction with their People in Jail Encourage Prisoners to Commit Crime

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.143

    0.232

    0.371

    Cramer's V

    0.143

    0.232

    0.371

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.141

    0.232

    0.371

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of crammer’s V is 0.143, which is statistically insignificant.

     


    Effect Size

    Odds of encouraged by other people in jail to commit property crime and do not encourage by other people in jail to commit crime =5/30 =1.67

    Odds of encouraged by other people in jail

    to commit violent crime and do not encourage by other people in jail to commit crime = 9/26 =0.35

    Odds ratio =4.77, the odds of their encouragement by other people in jail to commit the crime is 4.77 times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


    Table 19. Revenge: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Revenge

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    25

    10

    35

    Violent Crime

    12

    23

    35

    Total

    37

    33

    70

     

    Table 20. Chi-Square Tests of Revenge

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    9.689

    1

    0.002

    0.004

    0.002

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    8.256

    1

    0.004

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    9.929

    1

    0.002

    0.004

    0.002

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.004

    0.002

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    9.55

    1

    0.002

    0.004

    0.002

    0.002

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The chi-square value is 9.689, which is statistically significant.

     

    Table 21. Symmetric Measures of Revenge

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

     

     

    Phi

    0.372

    0.002

    0.004

    Cramer's V

    0.372

    0.002

    0.004

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.349

    0.002

    0.004

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

     


    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.372 out of 1. This indicates the medium relationship between the type of crime and whether the prisoners take revenge or not, with significant values.

     

    Effect Size

    Odds of a property crime when prisoners prefer to take revenge and don’t prefer to take revenge =10/25 =0.4

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners prefer to take revenge don’t prefer to take revenge =23/12 =1.92

    Odds ratio= 0.4/1.92= 0.21. The value of the odds ratio is indicating that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their revenge is 0.21 times greater than if they commit violent crime.

    Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime

    There are 12 socio-economic variables. People

     never like you to be your friend and socially deprived.


     

    Table 22. Type of Family: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Type of Family

     

     

     

    Joint Family

    Nuclear Family

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    19

    15

    34

    Violent Crime

    14

    21

    35

    Total

    33

    36

    69

     

    Table 23. Chi-Square Tests of Type of Family

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    1.743

    1

    0.187

    0.232

    0.14

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    1.165

    1

    0.28

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    1.751

    1

    0.186

    0.232

    0.14

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.232

    0.14

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    1.718

    1

    0.19

    0.232

    0.14

    0.081

    N of Valid Cases

    69

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The value of the Pearson chi-square test is 1.743, which is statistically insignificant.

     

    Table 24. Symmetric Measures of Type of Family

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.159

    0.187

    0.232

    Cramer's V

    0.159

    0.187

    0.232

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.157

    0.187

    0.232

    N of Valid Cases

     

    69

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.159, this shows the weak association between type of crime and type of family is insignificant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners belong to a joint family and belong to a nuclear family =19/15 =1.26

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners belong to joint family and belong to joint family =14/21 = 0.67

    Odds ratio = 1.26/0.67 =1.88. The value of the odds ratio points out that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their belonging to a joint family is 1.88 times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


     

    Table 25. Area of Residence: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Area of Residence

     

     

     

    Rural

    Urban

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    9

    26

    35

    Violent Crime

    15

    20

    35

    Total

    24

    46

    70

    Table 26. Chi-Square Tests of Area of Residence

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    2.283

    1

    0.131

    0.208

    0.104

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    1.585

    1

    0.208

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    2.301

    1

    0.129

    0.208

    0.104

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.208

    0.104

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    2.250

    1

    0.134

    0.208

    0.104

    0.065

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The value of Pearson Chi-square is 2.283, which is statistically insignificant.

     

    Table 27. Symmetric Measures of Area of Residence

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    -0.181

    0.131

    0.208

    Cramer's V

    0.181

    0.131

    0.208

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.178

    0.131

    0.208

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    Cramer’s V's value is 0.181, which is statistically insignificant and week association.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners live in a rural area and live in an urban area =9/26 =0.35

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners live in the rural area and live in urban area =15/20 =0.75

    Odds ratio =0.35/0.75 = 0.47. The odds ratio value exhibits that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their lives in rural areas are 0.47 times greater than if they commit violent crime.


     

    Table 28. Relation with Head of Household: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Relation with the Head of the Household

     

     

     

    Head of Household

    Other Member

    Other

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    15

    20

    35

    Violent Crime

    7

    28

    35

    Total

    22

    48

    70

     

    Table 29. Chi-Square Tests of Relation with Head of Household

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    4.242

    1

    0.039

    0.07

    0.035

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    3.248

    1

    0.072

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    4.316

    1

    0.038

    0.07

    0.035

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.07

    0.035

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    4.182

    1

    0.041

    0.07

    0.035

    0.025

    N of Valid Cases

    70

     

     

     

     

     

    The value of the Chi-square is 4.242, which is statistically significant.

     

    Table 30. Symmetric Measure of Relation with Head of Household

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.246

    0.039

    0.07

    Cramer's V

    0.246

    0.039

    0.07

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.239

    0.039

    0.07

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is significant shows that the strength of association between type of crime and relation with the head of household is significant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners are head of household and are other members of the household =15/20 =0.75

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners are head of household and are not head of household =7/28 =0.25

    Odds ratio =0.75/0.25 =3. The value of the odds ratio displays that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their relationship with the head of household is three times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


     

    Table 31. Education: A Cross-Tabulation Analysis

     

    Education

     

     

     

    Illiterate

    Primary

    Mddle

    Matric

    Intermdiate

    Graduation

    Master and Above

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    24

    1

    1

    1

    2

    4

    2

    35

    Violent Crime

    14

    3

    1

    5

    5

    3

    4

    35

    Total

    38

    4

    2

    6

    7

    7

    6

    70

     

    Table 32. Chi-Square Tests of Education

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    8.393a

    6

    0.211

    0.21

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    8.772

    6

    0.187

    0.28

    ---

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    8.337

    ---

    ---

    0.192

    ---

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    3.104b

    1

    0.078

    0.087

    0.044

    0.009

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The Pearson Chi-square is 8.393, which is statistically insignificant, indicating that type of crime and education is not related.

     

    Table 33. Symmetric Measures of Education

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.346

    0.211

    0.21

    Cramer's V

    0.346

    0.211

    0.21

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.327

    0.211

    0.21

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    Cramer’s V's value is 0.346, which is statistically insignificant.

     

    Table 34. Think If Prisoners Have Good Friend, They Will Not Commit Crime: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Think If Prisoners Have Good Friend, They Will Not Commit Crime

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    27

    8

    35

    Violent Crime

    17

    18

    35

    Total

    44

    26

    70

     

    Table 35. Chi-Square Tests of Think If Prisoners have Good Friend, they will not Commitcrime

     

    Value

    df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    6.119

    1

    0.013

    0.025

    0.013

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    4.956

    1

    0.026

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    6.24

    1

    0.012

    0.025

    0.013

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.025

    0.013

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    6.031c

    1

    0.014

    0.025

    0.013

    0.01

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The chi-square value shows that the type of crime and think if prisoners have good friend, they will not commit crime are related, and results are significant.

     

    Table 36. Symmetric Measures of think if Prisoners have Good Friend they will not Commitcrime

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.296

    0.013

    0.025

    Cramer's V

    0.296

    0.013

    0.025

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.284

    0.013

    0.025

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.296 shows the medium relationship, which is statistically significant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners think do not think if they have a good friend, they will not commit a crime =8/27 =0.30

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners think do not think if they have good friend, they will not commit the crime =18/17 =1.06

    Odds ratio = 0.30/1.06 =0.28. The odds ratio value shows that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of thinking they have good friends will not commit the crime, which is 0.28 times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


     

    Table 37. Lack of Trust: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Lack of Trust

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    28

    7

    35

    Violent Crime

    21

    14

    35

    Total

    49

    21

    70

     

    Table 38. Chi-Square Test of Lack of Trust

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    3.333

    1

    0.068

    0.117

    0.058

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    2.449

    1

    0.118

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    3.382

    1

    0.066

    0.117

    0.058

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.117

    0.058

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    3.286c

    1

    0.07

    0.117

    0.058

    0.04

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The value of chi-square is statistically significant shows that the type of crime and lack of trust are related.

     

    Table 39. Symmetric Measures of Lack of Trust

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.218

    0.068

    0.117

    Cramer's V

    0.218

    0.068

    0.117

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.213

    0.068

    0.117

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is significant shows that the medium strength of association is significant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners think and do not think lack of trust motivates them to commit the crime =7/28 =0.25

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners think and do not think lack of trust motivates them to commit the crime=14/21 =0.67

    Odds ratio = 0.25/0.67 =0.37. The odds ratio value estimates that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their thinking that lack of trust motivates them to commit the crime is 0.37 times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


     

    Table 40. Non-Observance of Religion: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Non-Observance of Religion is a Factor of Crime

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    27

    8

    35

    Violent Crime

    18

    16

    34

    Total

    45

    24

    69

    Table 41. Chi-Square Tests of Non-Observance of Religion

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    4.453a

    1

    0.035

    0.045

    0.031

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    3.45

    1

    0.063

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    4.516

    1

    0.034

    0.045

    0.031

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.045

    0.031

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    4.389

    1

    0.036

    0.045

    0.031

    0.022

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    --

    The value of Pearson Chi-Square is 4.453, which is statistically significant.

     

    Table 42. Symmetric Measures of Non-Observance of Religion

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.254

    0.035

    0.045

    Cramer's V

    0.254

    0.035

    0.045

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.246

    0.035

    0.045

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.254, which is statistically significant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of property crime who think non-observance of religion is a factor of crime and not a factor of crime =8/27 =0.30

    Odds of violent crime who think non-observance of religion is a factor of crime and not a factor of crime =16/18 =0.89

    Odds ratio =0.30/0.89 =0.34. The value of the odds ratio represents that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their thinking non-observance of religion is the factor of crime is 0.34 times greater than if they commit violent crime.


     

    Table 43. Lack of Support: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Lack of Support

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    24

    11

    35

    Violent Crime

    22

    13

    35

    Total

    46

    24

    70

     

    Table 44. Chi-Square Tests of Lack of Support

     

    Value

    df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

     

    Pearson Chi-Square

    .254

    1

    0.615

    0.802

    0.401

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    0.063

    1

    0.801

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    0.254

    1

    0.614

    0.802

    0.401

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.802

    0.401

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    .250

    1

    0.617

    0.802

    0.401

    0.176

    N of Valid Cases

    70

     

     

     

     

     

    The chi-square value is 0.254, which is statistically insignificant, indicating that lack of support and type of crime are not related.

     

    Table 45. Symmetric Measures of Lack of Support

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.06

    0.615

    0.802

    Cramer's V

    0.06

    0.615

    0.802

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.06

    0.615

    0.802

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.06 out of 1, which is not statistically insignificant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners face and do not face lack of support from family and friends=11/24 =0.46.

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners face do not face lack of support from family and friends =13/22 =0.59

    Odds ratio =0.46/0.59 =0.78. The odds ratio value demonstrates that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of face a lack of support from family and friends is 0.78 times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


     

    Table 46. People Never like Them to Be Their Friend: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    People Never like Them to Be Their Friend

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    26

    9

    35

    Violent Crime

    17

    18

    35

    Total

    43

    27

    70

     

    Table 47. Chi-Square Tests of People Never Like Them to Be Their Friend

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    4.884

    1

    0.027

    0.049

    0.024

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    3.859

    1

    0.049

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    4.956

    1

    0.026

    0.049

    0.024

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.049

    0.024

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    4.814

    1

    0.028

    0.049

    0.024

    0.018

    N of Valid Cases

    70

     

     

     

     

     

    The value of the Pearson chi-square test is 4.884, which is statistically significant.

     

    Table 48. Symmetric Measures of People Never Like Them to Be Their Friend

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.264

    0.027

    0.049

    Cramer's V

    0.264

    0.027

    0.049

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.255

    0.027

    0.049

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of crammer’s V is 0.264, which is statistically significant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners think and do not think people never like to be their friend =9/26 =0.35

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners think and do not think people never like them to be their friend =18/17 =1.06

    Odds ratio =0.35/1.06 = 0.33. The odds ratio value directs that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of thinking people never like them to be their friend is 0.33 times greater than if they commit a violent crime.


     

    Table 49. Socially Deprived: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Feel Socially Deprived

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    25

    10

    35

    Violent Crime

    17

    18

    35

    Total

    42

    28

    70

     

    Table 50. Chi-Square Tests of Socially Deprived

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    3.810

    1

    0.051

    0.087

    0.043

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    2.917

    1

    0.088

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    3.851

    1

    0.05

    0.087

    0.043

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.087

    0.043

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    3.755

    1

    0.053

    0.087

    0.043

    0.03

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The chi-square value is 3.810, which statistically significant.

     

    Table 51. Symmetric Measures of Socially Deprived

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.233

    0.051

    0.087

    Cramer's V

    0.233

    0.051

    0.087

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.227

    0.051

    0.087

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

    ---

    ---

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.233 out of 1, which is statistically significant.

     

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners feel and do not feel socially deprived =10/25 =0.4

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners feel and do not feel socially deprived =18/17 =1.06

    Odds ratio =0.4/1.06 =0.38. The odds ratio value indicates that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of feeling socially deprived is 0.38 times greater than if prisoners commit violent crime.


     

    Table 52. Job Status: A Cross Tabulation Analysis

     

    Job Status

     

     

     

    Housewife

    Government Service

    Semi-Government Service

    Private

    Service

    Self Employed

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    26

    3

    0

    4

    2

    35

    Violent Crime

    22

    3

    2

    4

    4

    35

    Total

    48

    6

    2

    8

    6

    70


    Table 53. Chi-Square Tests of Job Status

     

    Value

    df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    3.000

    4

    0.558

    0.663

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    3.786

    4

    0.436

    0.597

    ---

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    2.762

    ---

    ---

    0.692

    ---

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    1.104b

    1

    0.293

    0.327

    0.164

    0.03

    N of Valid Cases

    70

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    ---

    The chi-square value is 3, which is statistically insignificant.

     

    Table 54. Symmetric Measures of Job Status

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.207

    0.558

    0.663

    Cramer's V

    0.207

    0.558

    0.663

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.203

    0.558

    0.663

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    The value of Cramer’s V is 0.207, which shows a weak association and also statistically insignificant.

     

    Table 55. Chi-Square Tests of Bad Relation with Family

     

    Bad Relation with Family

     

     

     

    No

    Yes

    Total

    Type of Crime

    Property Crime

    28

    7

    35

    Violent Crime

    19

    16

    35

    Total

    47

    23

    70

     

    Table 56. Chi-Square Tests of Bad Relation with Family

     

    Value

    Df

    Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (2-sided)

    Exact Sig. (1-sided)

    Point Probability

    Pearson Chi-Square

    5.245

    1

    0.022

    0.041

    0.02

    ---

    Continuity Correction

    4.144

    1

    0.042

    ---

    ---

    ---

    Likelihood Ratio

    5.352

    1

    0.021

    0.041

    0.02

    ---

    Fisher's Exact Test

    ---

    ---

    ---

    0.041

    0.02

    ---

    Linear-by-Linear Association

    5.170

    1

    0.023

    0.041

    0.02

    0.015

    N of Valid Cases

    70

     

     

     

     

     

    The value of Pearson Chi-square is 5.245, which is statistically significant.

     

    Table 57. Symmetric Measures of Bad Relation with Family

     

    Value

    Approx. Sig.

    Exact Sig.

    Nominal by Nominal

    Phi

    0.274

    0.022

    0.041

    Cramer's V

    0.274

    0.022

    0.041

    Contingency Coefficient

    0.264

    0.022

    0.041

    N of Valid Cases

     

    70

     

     

    Cramer’s V's value is 0.274, which is statistically significant.

    Effect Size


    Odds of a property crime when prisoners have not and have bad relationships with family =28/7=4

    Odds of violent crime when prisoners have not bad have bad relation with family=19/16 =1.19

    Odds ratio =4/1.19 =3.36. The odds ratio value implies that when prisoners commit property crime, the odds of their not bad relation with family is 3.36 times greater than if they commit violent crime.

    Conclusions and Policy Implications

    To explore the socio-economic determinants of crime in Women Jail Multan, purely crime-related variables and socio-economic variables was examined. Prisoners in this jail are mainly motivated by economic and social factors such as unemployment, money, conflicts and family issues. Mostly the prisoners of this jail do not regret or repent for doing crime. 

    Here, when prisoners commit property crime, mostly they do not prefer to take revenge, and when they commit a violent crime, they prefer to take revenge. In analyzing socio-economic variables, prisoners who belong to the joint family mostly commit property crime and prisoners who belong to the nuclear family mostly commit violent crime. The prisoners in this jail are females, and most of them are not the head of households, so we may conclude that in this jail, mostly the other member of the households are involved in the crime. The education level also affects the crime rate in Women Jail as mostly illiterate prisoners commit the crime. Some people think that if they have a good friend, they will not do wrong. 

    In this analysis, largely prisoners who are involved in property crime do not believe that if they have a good friend, they will not commit the crime but who are involved in violent crime, think that if they have a good friend, and also face lack of trust which commit the crime. Distance from religion is another fact of crime in Islamic countries, but most of the prisoners think that non-observance of the religion is not a factor of crime. 

    Some people face inferiority and think people never like them to be their friends, but most of the prisoners who are involved in property crime do not think people never like them to be their friend or they do not face inferiority, and those who are involved in violent crime feel inferiority. Most of them do not have a bad relationship with their family. Job status in every society also affects the crime rate; among women, mostly housewives are involved in crime. Most of the prisoners are not socially deprived.

    Policies for Purely Crime-Related Variables

    The government may have to implement the policies to reduce the number of times a person commits a crime and the average strength length of crime to reduce the country's crime rate. The policymakers have to implement the policies to reduce crime through economic motivation such as money, lower inflation, and unemployment etc. The government may increase the wage rate and may create new job opportunities, which may reduce the dependency burden and reduce the unemployment and money problem. 

    Social motivation such as inner satisfaction, to become rich, family issues etc., the government may implement the terms and conditions and make every citizen obey those terms and conditions—political motivations such as political issues. The government may implement policies to reduce political issues. Psychological motivation such as psychological issues. Policymakers may devise policies to build hospitals for psyche patients. 

    Policies for Socio-Economic Variables

    This study found that the joint family mostly commit violent crime and the nuclear family commit property crime. The government may discourage the joint family system as it is also according to our religion. Moreover, policymakers may improve the documentation system in the country to reduce property crime. Mostly the head of the household commits both types of crime. So, the reason behind this, the burden on the head of the household. So, every household member must have to take part in work to divide the responsibilities. Education and residential are the factors for the development of society and to reduce illegal activities. So, the government may promote the level of education both in the rural and urban areas to reduce crime.

References

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Cite this article

    APA : Sheikh, M. R., Tariq, M., & Sultan, S. (2021). A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan. Global Social Sciences Review, VI(I), 130-147. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-I).14
    CHICAGO : Sheikh, Muhammad Ramzan, Muhammad Tariq, and Sana Sultan. 2021. "A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan." Global Social Sciences Review, VI (I): 130-147 doi: 10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-I).14
    HARVARD : SHEIKH, M. R., TARIQ, M. & SULTAN, S. 2021. A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan. Global Social Sciences Review, VI, 130-147.
    MHRA : Sheikh, Muhammad Ramzan, Muhammad Tariq, and Sana Sultan. 2021. "A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan." Global Social Sciences Review, VI: 130-147
    MLA : Sheikh, Muhammad Ramzan, Muhammad Tariq, and Sana Sultan. "A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan." Global Social Sciences Review, VI.I (2021): 130-147 Print.
    OXFORD : Sheikh, Muhammad Ramzan, Tariq, Muhammad, and Sultan, Sana (2021), "A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan", Global Social Sciences Review, VI (I), 130-147
    TURABIAN : Sheikh, Muhammad Ramzan, Muhammad Tariq, and Sana Sultan. "A Cross-Tabulation Analysis of Socio-Economic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from Women Jail Multan, Pakistan." Global Social Sciences Review VI, no. I (2021): 130-147. https://doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2021(VI-I).14