SEARCH ARTICLE

07 Pages : 64-74

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2020(V-III).07      10.31703/gssr.2020(V-III).07      Published : Sep 2020

Exploring the Presence of Balanced Growth: Empirical Evidence from Denmark

    The aim of present study was to explore existence of long-run association between consumption, income and investment implied by Balanced Growth proposition of Neo-classical-growth-model of the Solow and Swan (1956). Using quarterly data on consumption, income and investment from 1995q1 through 2018q4. The study have tested the balanced growth hypothesis for the Denmark. Using standard Vector-Auto-Regression technique of Johansen (1988) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) analysed the output shocks to both consumption and investment. Although, there exists cointegration implying long run relationship, the results are not consistent with the balanced-growth-hypothesis (BGH) with given data sample for Denmark.

    Balanced Growth, Consumption, Investment, Output, cointegration, Time Series, Impulse Response, Variance Decomposition
    (1) Ghulam Yahya Khan
    Assistant Professor, Kashmir Institute of Economics, University of Azad Jammu & Kashmir, Muzaffarabad, Pakistan.
    (2) Muhammad Masood Anwar
    PhD Scholar, Kashmir Institute of Economics, University of Azad Jammu & Kashmir, Muzaffarabad, Pakistan.
    (3) Aftab Anwar
    Assistant Professor, University of Education Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.

21 Pages : 158-164

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2019(IV-II).21      10.31703/gssr.2019(IV-II).21      Published : Jun 2019

Role of Energy in Economic Growth of Pakistan (1972-2015)

    This paper highlights the importance of energy in the determination of growth for economy of Pakistan. This study has been taken for the period of 1972-2015. Along with energy consumption some other important variables are also put into investigation. The Johansson co-integration estimation technique has been used to estimate the required impact. The results show that energy consumption contributed positively and significantly to long run economic growth. While the said impact is statistically insignificant in the short run, the study suggested on the basis of results that energy sources should be explored to boost which may possible to satisfy the energy need of the country and to get guaranteed economic growth in the long run. Therefore, Government should pay special attention toward the country’s energy sector to stabilize the economy which assures prosperity in the country.

    Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, Johansen CoIntegration and Pakistan.
    (1) Sher Ali
    Assistant Professor,Department of Economics,Islamia College Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
    (2) Fazle Wahid
    Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Islamia College Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.
    (3) Abid Ali
    Lecturer, Department of Economics, Islamia College Peshawar, KP, Pakistan.

35 Pages : 595-610

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-III).35      10.31703/gssr.2018(III-III).35      Published : Sep 2018

Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Markets: Evidence from Frontier Markets like Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)

    The macroeconomic version of the APT is of great significance in examining the return on assets. It analyzes the estimated security return with reference to various macroeconomic variables. Despite availability of research studies related to the developed and emerging stock markets of the world, still a research gap exists for exploring the frontier markets like equity market of Pakistan. The study examines the long and short term impact of macroeconomic variables on the KSE 100 index for the period of July 1996 - June 2015. Cointegration technique and VECM models have been applied. Among these variables, GDP, inflation, exchange rate, unemployment rate, labor force cost and stock market of US were found significant for explanation of effects on return of stock market of Pakistan. The study findings have potential implications for both policymakers and investors pertaining to macroeconomic factors and stock market volatility.

    Macroeconomic factors, Arbitrage pricing theory, Stock Returns, KSE 100 index, Exchange, ADF, Cointegration technique, Vector Error Correction Model, CPI
    (1) Muhammad Nadeem Iqbal
    PhD Scholar, Department of Leadership and Management Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan
    (2) Muhammad Zia ur Rehman
    Assistant Professor, Department of Leadership and Management Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
    (3) Kashif Saleem
    Assistant Professor, Qurtuba University, Department of Science and Information Technology, D. I Khan, KP, Pakistan.