Impact of Market Risk on Credit Risk of Subsequent Period in Manufacturing Sector of Pakistan
Firm's business activities are focused on profit making. The cultural, technological, organizational, financial and operational challenges followed by different risks like market or credit risks make it difficult for firms to focus on their sole aim of earning profit. Previous studies have highlighted that market risk and credit risks have a significant influence on firm's performance. However, prediction of credit risk from market risk has not been explored in Pakistan which this paper attempts by investigating the impact of market risk on credit risk of the following period. For this study, a panel data of 30 manufacturing firms was collected through random sampling technique from period 2005 to 2016. A regression model was estimated in Generalized Method of Momments and used a Hausman test to select fixed or random effects. Results of this study show that firms have 30% more current liabilities as compared to current assets and experience volatility in stock prices which increases the credit risks. However, research findings shows that firms have reasonable growth opportunities and profitability they can be used to reduce stock volatility and attain confidence of creditors in firms. The increase in leverage due to creditor's confidence in firm indicates a decrease in credit risk. Overall the study shows the significantly negative impact of market risk on credit risk of the subsequent time period which specifies market risk may foresee credit risk of the following period and gives a new understanding for investors and policymakers to curb risks in investment decisions.
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Market Risk, Credit Risk, Pakistan Stock Exchange, financial statements
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(1) Munawar Shabbir
PhD Scholar, Department of Leadership and Management Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
(2) Shazia Hassan
Assistant Professor, Department of Leadership and Management Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
(3) Ayesha Zareef
Lecturer, Department of Leadership and Management Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
01 Pages : 1-12
http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2025(X-III).01 10.31703/gssr.2025(X-III).01 Published : Sep 2025Evaluating the Influence of Credit Risk on Islamic Bank Performance: The Moderating Effect of Sharia Governance Mechanisms
The research investigates how credit risk affects Islamic bank profitability in Pakistan while studying the influence of Sharia governance. Islamic banks manage credit risk differently from traditional banks because they follow Shariah principles that base their operations on profit-and-loss sharing while banning riba interest transactions. This research analyzes NPL effects on bank profitability (ROA) by studying five full-fledged Islamic banks from 2014 to 2023 using Multiple regression analysis. The study demonstrates that Sharia governance through Sharia Board Size and frequency of Sharia Board Meetings functions as a key moderator that enhances the link between credit risk and profitability. Such institutions demonstrate better financial performance because their solid governance systems help them convert their risk exposures into prosperity. Research findings demonstrate that larger bank institutions generate lower profitability because they encounter operational inefficiencies and scale-related operational challenges.
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Credit Risk, Non-Performing Loans, Return on Assets, Shariah Board Size, Shariah Board Meetings, Bank Size
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(1) Noor Fatima
MBA, Hailey College of Banking & Finance, University of the Punjab, Punjab, Pakistan.
(2) Zargham Ullah Khan
Assistant Professor, Hailey College of Banking & Finance, University of the Punjab, Punjab, Pakistan.
(3) Muhammad Idrees
PhD Scholar, Hailey College of Banking & Finance, University of the Punjab, Punjab, Pakistan.