SEARCH ARTICLE

21 Pages : 198-208

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2020(V-I).21      10.31703/gssr.2020(V-I).21      Published : Mar 2020

Do US News and Volatility in Exchange Rate Exposure Matter (Empirical Evidence from Emerging Economies)

    This study is aimed to examine the impact of US News and exchange rate exposure on emerging economies of Pakistan, China, Turkey and Iran. Daily exchange rates have been used for the period Jan 1, 2003 to Dec 31, 2018 to identify the volatility in exchange rate exposure due to news effect. US News is modeled with variance equation respectively for each country exchange rate. GARCH (1,1) by Bollerslev (1986), and EGARCH (1,1) by Nelson (1991) models have been used to estimate the volatility of exchange rate dynamics. Results indicate that impact of US News is significantly positive on the exchange rate of Pakistan and China and the results of US news impact on Turkey and Iran are insignificant. Present study is helpful for investors, financial analysts and economic decision makers for understanding the changing dynamics of exchange rate volatility.

    Exchange rate, EGARCH, US News Impact Curve, Volatility.
    (1) Rana Shahid Imdad Akash
    Assistant Professor,School of Business Management,NFC-IEFR, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
    (2) Kashif Hamid
    Assistant Professor,Institute of Business Management Sciences,University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
    (3) Iqbal Mahmood
    Associate Professor,Government College of Commerce, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.

41 Pages : 399 ‒ 409

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2020(V-I).41      10.31703/gssr.2020(V-I).41      Published : Mar 2020

Eurozone Crisis and Asymmetric Volatility Spillover between the Stock Markets of Selected Emerging Asian and Developed Economies

    The study examines the volatility spillover between selected emerging Asian and developed stock markets. Moreover, the study analyzes the impact of the financial crisis on volatility spillover between the stock markets. This study used monthly observations for the period 2001-01 to 2017-12 on three emerging markets of Pakistan, China, India and three developed markets of Hong Kong, Japan and the US. First, the asymmetric volatility transmission between the stocks is analyzed by extended EGARCH representation. The study found the existence of asymmetric volatility spillovers throughout the financial crisis. The researcher estimated the VECM granger causality test in the next step. The outcomes revealed existence of bidirectional spillover between Pakistan and India, the US to Japan and Hong Kong. Unidirectional relationship was found from Pakistan and the US to Hong Kong, India to the US and Hong Kong to China. Overall, the results suggest a significant relationship between emerging and developed markets due to integration.

    EGARCH, Eurozone Crisis, Emerging Economies, Developed Economies, Volatility Spillover, VECM.
    (1) Muzammil Hussain
    PhD Scholar,Department of Economics,University of Sargodha, Punjab, Pakistan.
    (2) Rehmat Ullah Awan
    Associate Professor, Department of Economics,University of Sargodha, Punjab, Pakistan.
    (3) Hammad Hassan
    Assistant Professor,Department of NOON Business School, University of Sargodha, Punjab, Pakistan.